Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 115.914491 131.826370 149.375702 170.208410 194.318023 221.405653 254.232708
2026-01-18 94.822994 116.022013 141.373285 174.090267 215.433346 266.252604 333.931426
2026-01-25 80.684307 103.920517 133.343270 173.660045 227.972786 299.318390 401.311736
2026-02-01 71.554164 96.052652 128.545159 175.310082 241.740015 333.999177 474.077900
2026-02-08 63.143406 87.727071 121.619072 172.460493 248.013527 358.084206 534.188057
2026-02-15 57.641487 82.597369 118.225776 173.724764 259.684627 390.586090 610.526302
2026-02-22 53.332041 78.593983 115.824205 175.856950 272.462119 425.765339 695.477032
2026-03-01 48.148605 72.692022 109.872674 171.658206 274.475493 443.691222 753.871440
2026-03-08 43.910700 67.791008 104.901286 168.324746 277.239411 462.761275 816.374582
2026-03-15 40.633239 64.071699 101.387882 166.895103 282.837420 487.004110 891.244032
2026-03-22 39.236038 63.234647 102.412903 173.135484 302.332589 537.954304 1023.721444
2026-03-29 37.745768 62.087520 102.771194 178.168960 320.101160 587.749779 1161.424292
2026-04-05 34.959129 58.727110 99.429282 176.953045 327.537467 621.672389 1278.669994
2026-04-12 33.197720 57.011726 98.847827 180.868362 345.590459 679.691707 1459.954572
2026-04-19 30.994209 54.287620 96.157381 180.411925 354.818178 720.943201 1611.810006
2026-04-26 29.314296 52.347992 94.694372 182.132980 368.657839 773.938546 1801.766581
2026-05-03 27.219741 49.442190 91.117528 179.160047 372.077987 804.394780 1942.602543
2026-05-10 25.832753 47.752239 89.711413 180.479003 385.004039 858.407756 2155.048747
2026-05-17 24.666225 46.382131 88.794260 182.703516 400.230781 920.189944 2401.878400
2026-05-24 22.920642 43.720846 85.034207 178.323080 399.522416 942.935769 2544.945396
2026-05-31 21.420043 41.431650 81.836931 174.845729 400.509498 970.103642 2707.025072
2026-06-07 20.231646 39.685562 79.620943 173.354473 406.155783 1010.251916 2917.589024
2026-06-14 19.834256 39.546218 80.800981 179.864228 432.767232 1110.876652 3342.596576